a late assessment of the first Republican debate

Friends,

I am having a difficult time dragging myself to the computer to write anything political. Personally I am dealing with a few tragedy's and politically people have completely lost their way, I am tired of the nonsense.

However here is a late assessment of the first Republican debate which I had a hard time watching. I turned it on about a hour into it, just no passion or incentive to watch it. Years past I almost felt it was an obligation to watch but as you educate yourself realization settles in on how debates are staged events. Hard hitting lines have strategic spots to say them, what the candidates say are well rehearsed, its all staged.

In my real word this is how a debate should be to keep it somewhat organized but free flowing with candidates having to stand on their own. . A moderator throws out a topic. The first candidate to buzz in speaks on that topic for up to 3 minutes. If he strays the moderator cuts of his mic. Then each candidate after the three minutes are up can buzz in to have their say for one minute, if they don't buzz in its their fault. If any candidate rambles on about another topic in his rebuttal the moderator could cut of his mic also.

Nonetheless I did watch the last half or a bit more, did it change my mind who I would vote for? Yes for about a day and then I went back to reality – none of the above.

I sum it up this way... Trump hit a home run, he did a magnificent job, what a performance and the Establishment quietly made strides in getting their man in.

On a quick note:

Cruz gets a zero as he is not qualified. I don't care what anyone says as this is fact, he was born in Canada to an American mother and a Cuban father. Is he Canadian, American or Cuban? If we are trying to restore this nation shouldn't we adhere as closely as possible to the original intent of the Constitution? We challenged Obama's legitimacy as president but now we are willing to vote for Cruz because he is a Republican? If we allow two consecutive presidents who are not natural born citizens what will stop someone who is an illegal from being president or how about someone who moves to the US when he/she is older from another country. This is a slippery slope. It needs to be stopped NOW.

On other notes:

The son of New World Order – Thousand Points of Blight Jeb Bush looked bored.

As I told you, Ben Carson may be a good man but the Carson Show won't make the late show. He will fizzle. He did nothing in the debate that stood out. Not forceful enough.

Huckabee should stick to his TV show. America likes the jokes and the jabs by this man but that's all.

The two candidates who I think will either be the nominee or make a good strong run are.... Rand Paul and John Kasich. They didn't disappoint. Rand scored points with the Establishment when he pounced on Trump for considering a run as an Independent. If Rand was so into stopping the erosion of our Constitution and freedom why would he not run independent or support someone that would run independent if it meant going against an Establishment New World Order Republican candidate? Kasich did well enough for his base which will be broadening.

I wrote this on Friday, November 23, 2012, 2:23 Here's my prediction for 2016, no for sure winner but some heavy favorites. They will try to woo Chris Christy he may have a shot at the nomination but won't make it.  The man to keep an eye on is Kasich of Ohio and unless time gets the best of her Hillary is now making her move.  She will be a tough force to take out.  The GOP could be left wandering for years as they had their chance and squandered it

The tables are being set for Kasich. Ohio is an important swing state. The first debate was held in Cleveland, the Convention is in Cleveland. Kasich may lose some Christian Tea Party support but in the end they will vote for him as they always do who ever the nominee for the Republican Party is. And forget about polls, McCain was at the bottom of the heap before he wrestled the top spot away.

Now about Trump. I heard countless times people telling me they couldn't wait to hear what Trump has to say at the debate. It actually saddened me. Instead of voters looking at substance and real issues they are looking for the candidate with the most slam dunk lines. Is this what we have resorted to entertainment debates? So Trump did his job. He hit a home run just by being there. A record number of viewers tuned in. There was excitement and energy something that would have been lacking in the GOP debate if not for Trump. All of the candidates best thank him. They have a common target to go after and people are watching.

Trump is a puzzle though. One part of me predicts he will at some point bow out and throw his support to whoever the establishment wants. Hey he did endorse Mitt Romney over Ron Paul. Or his ego could get in the way and he could run as an independent. How would he govern as an independent with no platform or party behind him, I don't know that either. Time will tell or maybe I will figure it out before then and tell.

Carey Masci

Where's John Kerry? I still think we will be seeing him shortly.

OK here it is my presidential picks for 2016.

OK here it is my presidential picks for 2016.

Lets take a look at my past picks. I wrote this in January 30, 2008.

I said back in May '07 they have groomed McCain as heir apparent to the throne of the president.  He is going to get steam rolled by the younger, youthful and more energized Obama and if its Hillary EVERY Democrat will go out to vote for her.  The only guy that has a chance is Huckabee to defeat and unite this party.  Strong veteran bill of rights, pro life - pro marriage and DUNCAN HUNTER endorsed him.   It seems long ago, Hillary and McCain were the picks.  3 things got in the way, Obama - Huckabee - Mitt.  Obama may upset the Dems applecart, Mitt has enough money to hang around and Huckabee said he isn't going anywhere and is in for the long haul, so there is a bit of light left.

Well I was right McCain would get the nominee after some back room deals to get the Mitt-nipulator to back off until the next presidential election and Obama did upset the Dems applecart even though it was only Hillary's applecart.

In December 29, 2010 I wrote this

In case you haven't figured it out yet here is my prediction for the presidential election in 2012.  It will be Mitt Romney as the GOP nominee against Obama and Obama wins big.  Keep an eye on Hillary, she is jockeying for position.

Well I was spot on there. Hillary did indeed jockey for position resigning as Secretary of State in November of 2012 thinking she is the next inline to be president. The first woman, the first wife of a president to become president it is all set for her but is it? Forget about the scandals those only matter to those on the right side of the spectrum. We have created a two party hate system of voting so the Democrats would vote for Satan to stop a Republican from winning and so would the Republicans do the same to stop a Democrat. What may stop Hillary is her haggard old looks and her phoniness. Now I am stepping way way out here but I think the person to keep an eye on is our Old Buddy John Genghis Khan Kerry.

It has been over 10 years since Kerry ran for president and there are a host of new voters out there who are not aware or care about his past. He almost survived the Swift Boat veterans in '04 which won't be a factor this time. America is far different now then 10 years ago. A war protester of a past era is far more palatable in this anti-war climate we are in. America is tired of the wars. Kerry looks more energized and though he is a far out liberal he doesn't have nearly the baggage of the old bag herself Hillary. And remember Kerry took over as Secretary of State when Hillary resigned.

Now the Republican side pick is on Rand Paul. First lets run down some on the list of GOP hopefuls. Huckabee had his moment in the sun as did Santorum. Though they tried to cozy up to the establishment they haven't cracked it. Huckabee and Santorum hung on to long in their runs which did not sit well with the party higher ups. They can split some of the votes with the Carson show but it won't cut it.

Every election there is one candidate we love but just doesn't have it and that is Ben Carson. The east coast Fat Cat Christie just can't unify the party. Won't happen. Rubio and Cruz are just to right of center and won't do anything but get some tea party votes besides they shouldn't even be running, they are not natural born citizens as is Obama, correct me if I am wrong.

That leaves us with Jeb Bush and Rand Paul. Wow the money is on Bush but the Republicans need to the Conservative Right and the Tea Party to win, even though they don't like them or want to admit it, so my pick is on Rand Paul.

Rand Paul has kissed the Elephant god's ring by endorsing Romney over his father which got him a spot to speak at the 2012 GOP convention and he endorsed Mitch McConnell. The Tea Party will be silenced as they finally have their man and the Republicans have their man to do what they want while throwing bones at Rand by allowing him to do just enough to keep the Right thinking things are going their way. Rand is being reshaped into an ineffective Reagan.

My vote goes to my conscience and will vote for the Constitution Party candidate first. And if the Constitution Party candidate can't make the Ohio ballot because of the GOP bill SB193 I will vote Gary Johnson. I don't agree with Johnson on some issues at all but I trust him, The Republicans I agree on almost all the campaign issues but don't trust them at all. And that's the difference. 

Carey Masci